Startup Companies Are Unwise Speculations By William Cate July
2004 [http://home.earthlink.net/~beowulfinvestments/]
[http://home.earthlink.net/~beowulfinvestments/globalvillageinves
tmentclubwelcome/]
Business is risk. Wise investing requires creating a favorable
balance between the odds of capital loss and the potential of
profit from the company's success. Investing should always be a
question of finding a favorable Risk/Reward Ratio. Investors who
speculate in startup companies are betting against very long
odds. They can’t make a profit speculating in a series of
startup companies because the Risk/Reward Ratio is always
against them.
The U.S. Small Business Administration (SBA) reports that about
fifteen business startup companies out of one hundred succeed
for at least five years. However, their fifteen success stories
include franchises and professional services companies, which
have a far higher success rate than the average Startup Company.
Local businesses require less risk capital than a business with
a potential national market for their product or service. Thus
local business startup companies are somewhat less risky to
capitalize. The odds of a startup company, with a new product or
service, succeeding in the national market are less than
1-in-100.
To breakeven with those odds on speculations in these startup
companies, the investor must recover one hundred times his risk
capital. A hundred-fold return on any investment is extremely
rare. The startup company investor is about as likely to pick
the right number on a roulette wheel in Las Vegas three times in
a row as break even speculating in startup companies. They are
bad bets for many reasons.
It Isn't Always the Lack of Money
Entrepreneurs usually put the blame for their failure on lack of
capital. But often, the problem is how they use the capital they
raised. It's often misspent.
In my 24 years in the stock industry, I've advised assorted
public and private investors funding startup companies. Here are
a few examples of how their money has been misspent:
1. The entrepreneur spent $1,000 on a hat rack. The rest of the
office was furnished in equally expensive 18th & 19th Century
antiques. 2. The phone sales entrepreneur leased the penthouse
office in the financial district. 3. The entrepreneur bought
new, expensive cars for his seven managers, who were to run used
clothing stores. Keep in mind that the late billionaire, Sam
Walton of Walmart fame, drove a beat-up old pickup truck. 4.
Most of the risk capital was used to buy a condo in Aspen so
that the staff could develop the business plan.
Here are a few of the common misspent risk capital funds
mistakes made by Entrepreneurs:
1. The first risk capital investor's funds are used to find the
second risk capital investors funds and so on. Somehow, the
entrepreneur never seems to have any money to implement the
business plan. 2. The risk capital is spent on R&D. Even when
the company has a viable product, management continues to spend
the risk capital on improving the product. This is a common
failing of entrepreneurs with engineering degrees. 3. The
entrepreneur spends the risk capital on some project unrelated
to the startup company's business. This is often done in the
false belief that the investment in the unrelated business will
show a quick return and keep the entrepreneur's investors happy.
4. The entrepreneur becomes the victim of crooked advisors and
consultants, who overcharge him or her for their poor services.
I've seen payments to attorneys that have been anywhere from
four-fold to fifty-fold the standard hourly rate. I've seen a
private company spend US$15 million in a failed attempt to be
taken public. Unfortunately, these examples are far too common.
Simple Success for Startup Companies
1. Forget about image. 2. Forget about making a splash in the
Market. 3. Forget R&D 4. Don't hire anyone until you can no
longer expand your growing business without the potential
employee's help. 5. Get the least expensive quarters you can
find...then stay there until your successfully growing business
is pushing out the walls. If the quarters aren't "pretty,"
remind yourself of #1 above. 5. Sell your product and use every
penny of risk capital to expand your customer base. Making money
is your Prime Directive. Once you have consistent revenues, I'd
be interested in helping you increase your earnings by taking
you public and funding your acquisitions.
The Smart Cowardly Angel's Viewpoint
1. Never risk money in a startup company. You can't win. 2.
Never loan money to a business. The Risk/Reward Ratio is against
the lender. 3. Invest only in public companies. They offer any
investor a way to recover their risk capital and leverage their
profits. 4. Ensure that your Risk Capital is used to increase
company sales by buying related private companies that evolve
the company into being a multinational corporation.
While business is risk, there is no reason to justify gambling
against the odds. Anyone outside the United States, who has a
business investment proposal that might appeal to a smart
cowardly Angel, should contact me.
To contact the author: Visit the Beowulf Investments website:
[http://home.earthlink.net/~beowulfinvestments/] Or, visit the
Global Village Investment Club Website:
[http://home.earthlink.net/~beowulfinvestments/globalvillageinves
tmentclubwelcome/]
About Author :
He has been the Managing Director of Beowulf Investments
[http://home.earthlink.net/~beowulfinvestments/] since 1981 and
is the Executive Director of the Global Village Investment Club
[http://home.earthlink.net/~beowulfinvestments/globalvillageinves
tmentclubwelcome/]